Quoting the Crisis

23/11/2009

“ The structural logic is rather compelling. A company can discharge people—and turn around and “hire” them back under other arrangements, as contractors, say. In this process the employer (1) eliminates overhead (space, furniture), (2) no longer needs to pay half of the Social Security tax it pays to full-timers, (3) avoids health insurance contributions, and (4) no longer contributes to retirement plans. It takes a certain amount of finesse to accomplish this. Straight rehiring under contract is prohibited by law, but there are ways. And in this manner the furloughed or the terminated gain compensation once again—but, mind you, at a much lower rate than they enjoyed before. „

The Self-Employment Army « LaMarotte (via nonolet)

21/11/2009

“ This vividly shows the risk of entering into interest- rate swap agreements. The world’s got to see what stupidity even the sophisticated investors like the transportation fund can get into. „

Christopher Taylor, former executive director of the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board in Alexandria, Virginia, quoted by Dunstan McNichol in Goldman Sachs Still Paid for Swaps on Redeemed Bonds (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

“ My interpretation of the data goes to income inequality. I see this as evidence that the last decade of growth in the U.S. has not been beneficial for poorer Americans. However, I would go further in saying that the downturn in the U.S. and rising unemployment, bankruptcy and foreclosure in the middle class has made plain that the middle class has also been left behind. „

Edward Harrison in Food insecurity in America skyrockets «  naked capitalism

20/11/2009

“ More bad news for the housing market, the number of people falling behind on their mortgage payments continues to climb. The Mortgage Bankers Association says 9.64 percent of all home loans outstanding last quarter were at least one payment past due. What’s worse? That figure does not include loans that are in the process of foreclosure, 4.47 percent of loans were in foreclosure, up from 4.3 percent last quarter. „

Caitlin Kenney in Mortgage Defaults Hitting Record Highs - Planet Money Blog : NPR

“ More than a million children regularly go to bed hungry in the US, according to a government report that shows a startling increase in the number of families struggling to put food on the table. „

Chris McGreal in Record numbers go hungry in households in the US | World news | guardian.co.uk

“ 

It may be the world’s richest nation, but the US is no stranger to startling poverty. A new report from the US Department of Agriculture says that food insecurity is the highest in America since the survey began.

Food insecurity - defined by the USDA as when “food intake … was reduced and their eating patterns were disrupted at times during the year because the household lacked money and other resources for food” - afflicted 14.6% of Americans in 2008. Ie, some 50 million people were too poor to guarantee being able to put food on the table.

 „

Simon Rogers in Hungry America: food insecurity, state by state | News | guardian.co.uk

19/11/2009

18/11/2009

“ I’m scared and leaders should look out. America is doing exactly what Japan did last time We have a U.S. dollar carry trade at the moment. Where is the money going — it’s where the problem’s going to be: Asia. You can see asset prices going up, not only in Korea, in Taiwan, in Singapore and in Hong Kong, going up to levels that are incompatible or inconsistent with the economic fundamentals. „

Donald Tsang, chief executive of the city of Singapore, quoted by Christopher Anstey and Michael Dwyer in Fed May Cause Next Crisis, Hong Kong’s Tsang Suggests (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

“ We’re facing a cliff in 2011 when stimulus dollars run out. There is not an end in sight, even in recovery. „

Mitchell Bean, director of the Michigan House Fiscal Agency, quoted by Sara Murray in State Finance Directors Warn of More Trouble Ahead - WSJ.com

17/11/2009

“ 

The authorities are completely responsible for the messes on two different fronts that intersect to create monetary policy dilemma. Going below 2% for Fed funds was a huge error (well maybe you could justify 1% as a very short term expedient), but the Fed is now painted in a corner. But second, and the much bigger issue, is that (as everyone can see) all this cheap money is not going into the real economy. A few very high quality borrowers are getting good rates; everyone else finds credit scarce and costly. So spreads are higher than before, and even absolute rates are often higher expect in markets like mortgages where the Fed has intervened.

Now some readers will correctly say that overly loose lending is what created the problem, and we need to undo that, but they are conflating two issues. Tightening up on WHO gets credit and HOW MUCH they get is separate from pricing. If this was mere improved standards, you’d expect to see more discrimination within various types of borrowers. But instead, across entire swathes of borrowers, particularly consumers and small businesses, banks have simply turned off the spigot. This has little to do with a return to prudent practices. In fact, it illustrates a real cancer: that across consumers and many small business owners, old-fashioned multi-variable decision-making (which included some verification of income) has been replaced by heavily or entirely FICO based systems. Those systems failed utterly. But they were cheap to operate, banks have no intention of reverting to earlier, more costly approaches. So we have a credit assessment process that is broken, but no one wants to admit it.

 „

Yves Smith in China Lambastes Dollar “Carry Trade,” Diverting Attention from Its Currency Manipulation « naked capitalism

“ Krugman does Germany an injustice by failing to contest US prejudices about European (particularly German) labor practices. If German labor practices are so terrible, then how was Germany an export powerhouse, able to punch above its weight versus Japan and China, while the US, with our supposedly great advantage of more flexible (and therefore cheaper) labor, has run chronic and large current account deficits? And why is Germany a hotbed of successful entrepreneurial companies, its famed Mittelstand? If Germany was such a terrible place to do business, wouldn’t they have hollowed out manufacturing just as the US has done? Might it be that there are unrecognized pluses of not being able to fire workers at will, that the company and the employees recognize that they are in the same boat, and the company has more reason to invest in its employees (ignore the US nonsense “employees are our asset,” another line from the corporate Ministry of Truth). „

Yves Smith in Krugman on the Need for Jobs Policies «  naked capitalism

“ 

Germany’s jobs miracle hasn’t received much attention in this country — but it’s real, it’s striking, and it raises serious questions about whether the U.S. government is doing the right things to fight unemployment.

Here in America, the philosophy behind jobs policy can be summarized as “if you grow it, they will come.” That is, we don’t really have a jobs policy: we have a G.D.P. policy. The theory is that by stimulating overall spending we can make G.D.P. grow faster, and this will induce companies to stop firing and resume hiring.

 „

Paul Krugman in Op-Ed Columnist - Free to Lose - NYTimes.com

16/11/2009

If Michael is going to make crap products he should at least be making them in the USA

{Michael Dell comes in the room}

Me: “Now Michael, I have a hard enough time accepting what a pile of crap your company has become.  I think I’ve spent about 3 years too many buying your garbage before I finally realized that you suck.  Anyway, my main beef is, if Michael is going to make crap products he should at least be making them in the USA and bringing back manufacturing jobs.”

Premier Hu: {Spitting out water} “What..you can’t do that.  It would not be in the spirit of free trade!”

Me: “Yeah, well the way we see it in the USA is the last thirty years has just been a huge mistake.  We convinced ourselves, including yours truly, that we could let all our manufacturing jobs go because we were replacing them with ‘Service’ jobs.  Besides emptying bedpans and working at McDonalds the service economy was in large part a huge mirage. Most of the stuff we were ‘servicing’ was a bunch of bull-sh*t financial products that built an entire industry around themselves.  That’s gone now and we need our manufacturing base back.  Therefore, I am going to give Michael here, along with our other companies that actually make tangible things, huge tax breaks to move a good amount of their production back to the USA.”

Dell:  “But Mr. President, you would have to give us a tax REBATE to equalize the cost of producing our products in America as opposed to China!”

Premire Hu: “And if you moved millions of manufacturing jobs out of China you would cost us millions of jobs!”

Me: “Well gentlemen, the way I see it is, Dell, maybe it will cost you, with the tax break, 30% more to produce your computers that don’t turn on when you buy them.  But sh*t Mike, if we don’t produce real jobs in the USA who the hell is going to buy your products?  You may have to raise prices some and eat into your profit margins, but in the long run it beats the alternative.

— excerpt from What I Would Tell Premier Hu If I Were President by Eric Salzman

“ Based on my best judgment, it is most likely that the unemployment rate will peak close to 11% and will remain at a very high level for two years or more. „

Nouriel Roubini in RGE - The Worst is yet to Come: Unemployed Americans Should Hunker Down for More Job Losses

15/11/2009

“ People are losing their homes, their jobs, their health, their investments, their retirement security; yet there is unlimited money for war, Wall Street and insurance companies, but very little money for jobs on Main Street. Unlimited money to blow up things in Iraq and Afghanistan, and relatively little money to build things in the US. The Administration may soon bring to Congress a request for an additional $50 billion for war. I can tell you that a Democratic version of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan is no more acceptable than a Republican version of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Trillions for war and Wall Street, billions for insurance companies… When we were promised change, we weren’t thinking that we give a dollar and get back two cents. „

Dennis Kucinich (via afghanibanani) (via opparaics) (via robot-heart-politics)

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